ETF Prophet

ETF Rewind Pro – 05.15.12 Dear Subscriber, Equities logged another day of distribution, this time on quite heavy volume and our reversion bias weakened further still, which is unusual during a normal pullback — it’s that abnormal factor that’s weighing it down.  And yet, we’ve yet to see what I’ll call ‘healthy’ capitulation.  With key [...]

bETFR Members First Article Update/bbrdivbr/divdivspan style=”color:rgb(54,70,60);font-family:#39;Century Gothic#39;,#39;Avant Garde#39;,helvetica,Tahoma,#39;verdana sans-serif#39;;font-size:12px;line-height:15px;text-align:left;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)”Two weeks ago our first “/spana href=”http://etfprophet.com/little-sis-issues-its-first-warning-in-three-months/” style=”padding-top:0px;padding-right:0px;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:0px;margin-top:0px;margin-right:0px;margin-bottom:0px;margin-left:0px;color:rgb(93,172,38);font-family:#39;Century Gothic#39;,#39;Avant Garde#39;,helvetica,Tahoma,#39;verdana sans-serif#39;;font-size:12px;line-height:15px;text-align:left;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)”Sensitive Issues Scoring/aspan style=”color:rgb(54,70,60);font-family:#39;Century Gothic#39;,#39;Avant Garde#39;,helvetica,Tahoma,#39;verdana sans-serif#39;;font-size:12px;line-height:15px;text-align:left;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)”” model based on relative positioning of and among nine economically sensitive ETFs issued a first warning for equities. Last week, a fuller version driven by fifteen intermarket sector, style and [...]

div styledivbETF Rewind Pro – 04.16.12/b/divdiv style=”font-style:italic”ibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”iDear Subscriber,/i/font/divdiv stylebbr/b/divdiv style font color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Monday offered a mixed trade with the odd couple of Utilities and Financials closing in the green, while the heavily Apple influenced NASDAQ 100 closed relatively far in the red.  Notably, small caps held their own and may well [...]

divdivbETF Rewind Pro – 04.03.12/b/divdiv style=”font-style:italic”ibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”iDear Subscriber,/i/font/divdivfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”ibr /iToday#39;s moderate pullback, presumably on quot;Q.E. Threequot; disappointment (iagain/i), left the board looking nearly identical to last night.  Therefore, uI#39;m also rolling forward my neutral/ slightly conservative stance for tomorrow/u.  Today makes three weeks in the current range.  It #39;feels#39; like topping [...]

divdivbETF Rewind Pro – 04.02.12/b/divdiv style=”font-style:italic”ibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”iDear Subscriber,/i/font/divdivfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”ibr /iEquities progressed to multi-year highs, as led by Materials and Technology.  The second-day tandem move in the VIX triggered a Bearish swing signal, even though the momentum and last hour pull-back to VWAP left a positive bias on the board for tomorrow. [...]

p class=”mobile-photo”a href=”http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-rlSa9LbZ1Hk/T3jJ1thNXFI/AAAAAAAABHE/_DOircP-EC8/s1600/3ETF%2BRotation-753792.png”img src=”http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-rlSa9LbZ1Hk/T3jJ1thNXFI/AAAAAAAABHE/_DOircP-EC8/s320/3ETF%2BRotation-753792.png” border=”0″ alt=”” id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5726548850790718546″ //a/pdiv stylediv style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”bETF Rewind Pro – 03.30.12/b/divdiv style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-style:italic”ibr /i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”i style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”Dear Subscriber,/i/font/divdiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”ibr /iBullish economic reports including a consumer sentiment beat helped boost equities at quarter-end for nice gain on the week in-spite of some volatile action along the way.  uFor Monday#39;s trade [...]

Good Morning,brbrApparently the ETF Prophet site has gone down.  Our team is working to trouble shoot that.  Meanwhile, the quot;Chatzyquot; room link is:brbra href=”http://www.chatzy.com/mrkt-chat”http://www.chatzy.com/mrkt-chat/abr brThe current password is quot;Summerquot;.brbrHave a terrific day and weekend ahead, Jeffbr

div stylediv style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”bETF Rewind Pro – 03.2font color=”#222222″font face=”arial, sans-serif”9/font/font.12/b/divi style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”div ibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,brbr/font/ifont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”While hardly breaking the up-trend, today#39;s price action tested the rising a href=”http://etfprophet.com/03-29-12-cant-catch-a-bid/”twenty-day moving average/a for the third time this month.  After three days of declines, it hardly #39;feels#39; as if stocks are higher on the week, but [...]

divdiv style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”bETF Rewind Pro – 03.2font color=”#222222″font face=”arial, sans-serif”8/font/font.12/b/divi style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”div ibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,brbr/font/ifont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”The relative correction between price and the VIX removed the bearish signal from the board sooner than I anticipated.  The two week pause in price action has also put us back into a more normal performance band.  A [...]

div stylediv style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”bETF Rewind Pro – 03.2font color=”#222222″font face=”arial, sans-serif”7/font/font.12/b/divi style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”div ibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/ifont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Last night#39;s consolidation thesis played out well until the final hour, when a spiking VIX shadowed a mild retrace led by Energy and Financials.  The fall back was a bit more severe for the Russell 2000, whose [...]

divdivdiv style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”bETF Rewind Pro – 03.2font color=”#222222″font face=”arial, sans-serif”6/font/font.12/b/divi style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”div ibr/i/div font color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/ifont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Equities received an unexpected boost from accommodative comments by Fed Chairman Bernanke.  uAlthough volume was on the light side, the strong momentum has nullified our reversion signals, leaving me on balance to expect a narrow consolidation trade [...]

p class=”mobile-photo”a href=”http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-JZS_aqXeAJU/T2-WVrk9L-I/AAAAAAAABG4/B7ezwEIm5Zk/s1600/3ETF%2BRotation-745647.png”img src=”http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-JZS_aqXeAJU/T2-WVrk9L-I/AAAAAAAABG4/B7ezwEIm5Zk/s320/3ETF%2BRotation-745647.png” border=”0″ alt=”” id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5723958950630338530″ //a/pdiv styledivdiv style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”bETF Rewind Pro – 03.23.12/b/divi style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px”divibr/i/div font color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/ifont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Equities reversed an early dip to ultimately close higher on the day, as led by Energy and Materials.  uThat leaves a islight /ibullish bias carrying over for Monday#39;s trade, although I#39;ll be watching [...]

div id=”:8t” class=”ii gt adP adO”div id=”:8u”divbETF Rewind Pro – 03.22.12/b/dividivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/ifont color=”#222222″font face=”arial, sans-serif”Price fell back further to the SPY $139 level mentioned earlier in the week, removing last night#39;s #39;big move#39; alert.  With a modicum of downside momentum established and broad weakness in the small-caps again, eventual closure of the [...]

div stylebETF Rewind Pro – 03.21.12/b/divi styledivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Markets struggled around the flat line for most of the day, with the SPY vacillating around its nearly flattened five-day moving average.  Nevertheless, a higher high and low were registered, the VIX pulled back nearly 3%, and Consumer Discretionaries, the Semi-Conductors [...]

divbETF Rewind Pro – 03.20.12/b/dividivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idivfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Today offered a slight pullback with the exception of the Apple tilted NASDAQ.  Financials and Consumer Discretionaries also showed relative strength, while small-caps reverted back down.  Although internals therefore performed much worse under the hood and the SPY did put in a lower high, [...]

div stylebETF Rewind Pro – 03.19.12/b/divi styledivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”With the exception of the safety sectors, equities put in another broad advance led by technology and materials.  It was also very bullish to see small-caps catch up, and on relative strength at that.  Bonds action is suggestive of class rotation, [...]

p class=”mobile-photo”a href=”http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-hpwals2tsCE/T2ZD_Pg9E3I/AAAAAAAABGo/Y1O-NSQbXtM/s1600/3ETF%2BRotation-740369.png”img src=”http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-hpwals2tsCE/T2ZD_Pg9E3I/AAAAAAAABGo/Y1O-NSQbXtM/s320/3ETF%2BRotation-740369.png” border=”0″ alt=”” id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5721335130396365682″ //a/pdiv stylebETF Rewind Pro – 03.16.12/b/divi styledivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Friday offered a mix-sector close with a push in Energy and Financials permitting a slight positive close for the Samp;P 500.   One thing we can say, is that volume was very high, even [...]

div stylebETF Rewind Pro – 03.15.12/b/divi styledivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Financials led for another high-volume accumulation day ending at multi-year highs.  /fontu style=”color:rgb(34,34,34);font-family:arial,sans-serif”The bearish reversion signal remains on the board for tomorrow, but again, with this strong momentum I#39;m still short-term neutral beyond hedging core long-term holdings as price advances/ufont color=”#222222″ [...]