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You Are Browsing the February 2012 Archive:

Waiting for Momentum Shift

Posted by on February 29th, 2012

After giving up some early gains, late day buying took us off the lows.  It was a rare reversal in 2012 but the point loss was small.   The small-caps and precious metals were pounded.  Tomorrow will be key to see if the bulls are losing momentum with new month money coming in.  Bears have to aggressively take out the mid 136 area on [...]

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.29.12

Posted by on February 29th, 2012

div stylebETF Rewind Pro – 02.29.12/b/divi styledivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”The Materials and Energy complexes led the anticipated minor retracement.  In contrast, Consumer Staples actually managed a slightly positive close while the pull back in the small-cap Russell 2000 was more concerning.  That said, the fall quot;feltquot; more dramatic than it [...]

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.29.12

Posted by on February 29th, 2012

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.29.12 Dear Subscriber, The Materials and Energy complexes led the anticipated minor retracement.  In contrast, Consumer Staples actually managed a slightly positive close while the pull back in the small-cap Russell 2000 was more concerning.  That said, the fall "felt" more dramatic than it was for the large-caps after positive economic [...]

02.29.12 – Strong 5-DMA Support

Posted by on February 29th, 2012

Testimony from the Bernanke has price off its highs, but you can see how strong that rising 5-day moving average support was for the SPY.  This was especially so as it coincided with the daily QQQ pivot.  It will be more interesting to see what happens at VWAP. Meanwhile, of course we have Apple up [...]

Mosaic’s Version of DOW Theory

Posted by on February 29th, 2012

A few years ago I published a series of TradeStation systems which I called the BZB Dirty Dozen.  I have revived, modified and merged one of those studies with the signal engine that drives Mosaic.  This post reflects the long biased side of the equation and uses the fundamentals of DOW theory to help identify [...]

Get a 30 days FREE Trial of Portfolio Trader

Posted by on February 29th, 2012

Sign-up for free! Portfolio Trader has been in public beta for about 6 month. In the coming month Portfolio Trader will become a subscription based service. Until then it remains FREE for all subscribers. Please fill-out the form bellow in order to receive the 30 days FREE trial. Furthermore let us know if you are interested in [...]

Grinding Higher

Posted by on February 28th, 2012

The S&P 500 managed its seventh positive day out of the last eight and closed above the 2011 high.  We have great underlying support, but upside momentum had also been limited.  There are many traders looking for a 3-5% pullback and the market is doing the opposite.  With a strong close, we can probably expect [...]

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.28.12

Posted by on February 28th, 2012

div stylebETF Rewind Pro – 02.28.12/b/divi styledivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”The dashboard hasn#39;t changed in several days indicating a strong advance that is pushing the boundaries, but not quite hard enough to necessitate any sort of dramatic retrace.  Like yesterday, I need to point out once again how small caps under performed. [...]

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.28.12

Posted by on February 28th, 2012

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.28.12 Dear Subscriber, The dashboard hasn't changed in several days indicating a strong advance that is pushing the boundaries, but not quite hard enough to necessitate any sort of dramatic retrace.  Like yesterday, I need to point out once again how small caps under performed.  How will the large-cap indices do if [...]

02.28.12 – Low Volatility Advance Continues

Posted by on February 28th, 2012

What more to say?  Internals still looking good with Tech charging higher.  I’d still like to see small-caps keeping better pace.

Mosaic Management Tactics – Week 9

Posted by on February 28th, 2012

First..an update of Mosaic’s performance last week relative to SPY.  I’ve added a few metrics to help understand the differentials here along with a Max Drawdown value for each.  Last week was a chance for Mosaic to demonstrate its risk management attributes as the larger indices adopted a skittish behavior at the 13K mark.  Keep [...]

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.27.12

Posted by on February 27th, 2012

div stylebETF Rewind Pro – 02.27.12/b/divi styledivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Markets put in another dramatic recovery for slight, but broad gains sector wise that nevertheless remained lackluster outside of the large-cap universe.  uFor tomorrow we have another neutral reading on the board.  Two days in a row of VIX gains along [...]

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.27.12

Posted by on February 27th, 2012

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.27.12 Dear Subscriber, Markets put in another dramatic recovery for slight, but broad gains sector wise that nevertheless remained lackluster outside of the large-cap universe.  For tomorrow we have another neutral reading on the board.  Two days in a row of VIX gains along with price could be a warning for [...]

Hungry Buyers

Posted by on February 27th, 2012

With Asia and Europe down this morning, the dip buyers showed up within 15 minutes of the gap down open.  Month end activity and further money printing talk gave the bulls a powerful bounce from a rare 10pt drop in the S&P.  PCLN earning after hour are well received.  The play book of buying morning [...]

XLF:TLT Legacy Trade

Posted by on February 27th, 2012

Bonds have been a bit squirrely lately as the financials have surged so here’s a quick look at recent activity one of our most reliable pair trades -  XLF/TLT.  As of today’s close we are flat both positions.  Note the last trade of record…a substantial loser which was easily avoided by simply following the fixed [...]

02.27.12 – Power Reversal to New Trend Highs

Posted by on February 27th, 2012

What more to say — quite a decoupling from Europe today.  As I post this, SPY is setting up to break S1 and it looks like a fresh squeeze is on.

Friday’s VIX Action Hint

Posted by on February 27th, 2012

The study below looks at instances of SPX and VIX both closing positive on a Friday. The VIX has a tendency to move opposite the SPX, so when they move in the same direction, it can often suggest an edge over the next few days. Due to calendar effect…

ETF Rewind Pro – 02.24.12

Posted by on February 26th, 2012

p class=”mobile-photo”a href=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZddX5giKvF0/T0qhj70Yc-I/AAAAAAAABGM/pqnEkC1OVCk/s1600/3ETF%2BRotation-786769.png”img src=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZddX5giKvF0/T0qhj70Yc-I/AAAAAAAABGM/pqnEkC1OVCk/s320/3ETF%2BRotation-786769.png” border=”0″ alt=”” id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5713556715997787106″ //a/pdiv stylebETF Rewind Pro – 02.24.12/b/divi styledivibr/i/divfont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Dear Subscriber,/fontbrbr/idiv stylefont color=”#222222″ face=”arial, sans-serif”Although the SPY finished higher on Friday, the divergence among the small-caps carried over and it seems the breadth of participation in this bull run is waning for the moment.  Volume was particularly light. [...]

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