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You Are Browsing the January 2012 Archive:

ETF Rewind Pro – 01.31.12

Posted by on January 31st, 2012

ETF Rewind Pro – 01.31.12 Dear Subscriber The S&P logged its fourth down-day, but no real technical damage was done and the major sectors actually finished mixed.  Indeed, considering news flow, the market has held up quite well and now we are going into positive seasonality with the change of month.  There is also a [...]

New Month Bounce?

Posted by on January 31st, 2012

Over the last eight trading days, the S&P 500 has traded in a very narrow range. For four days in a row, we have had downside action but the dipbuyers continued to bail us out and supported the low. With window-dressing pressures now over, will the new month money be enough to hold us up? [...]

01.31.12 – Looking for Post-Fill Support

Posted by on January 31st, 2012

Odds Turnaround Tuesday Lives Up To Its’ Name…

Posted by on January 31st, 2012

I’ve shown before that of all days Tuesday has historically shown the highest propensity to halt a short-term pullback. The study below is one from the larger Turnaround Tuesday study. All stats are updated..

As you can see the market has strong…

ETF Rewind Pro – 01.30.12

Posted by on January 30th, 2012

ETF Rewind Pro – 01.30.12 Dear Subscriber Price put in its third day of lower closes, this time led by Financials, and potentially indicating a trend reversal.  Lower than expected consumer spending didn't help.  In fact, while the last night's indicated support held, today marked the first day in over a month that price has [...]

Bulls Feel Winded

Posted by on January 30th, 2012

The European sovereign debt issues triggered some selling at the open, but the market held up reasonably well.  Breadth managed to improve quite a bit from nearly 4-to-1 negative in the early going and excitement in technology spilled over.  The bears came close to taking out key support at 131 and 130 on the SPY, [...]

01.30.12 – First Day < 10-DMA for 2012

Posted by on January 30th, 2012

Mosaic Linearity – Week 5

Posted by on January 30th, 2012

This is a graphic comparison of SPY versus Mosaic versus LT6 (a Mosaic model skewed to the upside). LT6 has a built-in equity curve signal line (MOM21) that determines when to increase or decrease net position size.  Keep in mind that these are NOT rotation models.  The components of LT6 and Mosaic are the same [...]

ETF Rewind Pro – 01.27.12

Posted by on January 29th, 2012

ETF Rewind Pro – 01.27.12 Dear Subscriber The S&P 500 closed just about flat on the day after another a.m. lows recovery with the Small Caps/ IWM being the big winner.  The latter remains our current Rotation Tab leader going into February.  Next week, on further pullback I expect strong initial support at SPY $129.50. [...]

ETF Rewind – Dollar Pullback | Week 4 | 01.27.12

Posted by on January 28th, 2012

Equities took an expected breather last week, but ultimately leaving the S&P 500 (SPY) down just a tenth of percent. Perhaps more interesting was the U.S. Dollar (UUP) pullback, leaving Commodities (DBC) commensurately overbought. Small Caps (IWM), Real Estate (IYR), Materials (XLB) and the Transports (IYT) are also looking a bit over cooked. Looking ahead, [...]

Portfolio Trader ~ Week 05 / 2012

Posted by on January 28th, 2012

Update Last week the portfolio saw an increase by 2.76%. For the coming week a number of stocks will be replaced. TLT did quite well given the bullish stock market environment. I will further reduce my TLT exposure.   Portfolio Profile Stocks (long)  84 % Treasuries   16% About Portfolio Trader Read more about Portfolio [...]

Facebook Excitement

Posted by on January 27th, 2012

Volume was light and we drifted lower, but there was constant support under the surface.  Strength in small-caps and news that Facebook expects to announce its initial public offering next week ignited a wide range of internet names.  Until we can take out the low during the FOMC rate announcement   the bears will continue to [...]

Friday Fun – I’m the Taxman

Posted by on January 27th, 2012

01.27.12 – Range Day Struggle

Posted by on January 27th, 2012

Up and Down volume are fairly well matched, but price is struggling to maintain its current level and most of the range has been below VWAP. Meanwhile, the rising ten-day moving average continues to contain the downside; I’ll be watching that closely this afternoon session.

ETFR – File Link Correction

Posted by on January 27th, 2012

Hi my apologies that last night's file link was dated, please try this one instead for 01.26.12: http://tinyurl.com/7fzcxck Sincerely, Jeff Pietsch

ETF Rewind Pro – 01.26.12

Posted by on January 26th, 2012

ETF Rewind Pro – 01.26.12 Dear Subscriber Today's moderate down-trend reversal day was led by the Energy complex.  While I tend to think we could see more follow-on distribution ahead, if not tomorrow, today really burned off last night's wide breadth overbought reading, the overall trend remains higher, and the board for tomorrow is otherwise [...]

Looking for Sellers

Posted by on January 26th, 2012

After 3 weeks, we finally had our first day of decent selling.  Euphoria over the Federal Reserve’s low interest-rate announcement was reversed early on.  The Fed is back on the sidelines and major earnings mostly done.  What will be the catalyst for a further rally?  That said, the dip buyers must be salivating to buy [...]

01.26.12 – Gap Fill

Posted by on January 26th, 2012

Price action is taking a mild breather after yesterday afternoon’s post-FOMC run.

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